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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Alekander Volkov won · Decision R3
Elo1492
Elo1419
Greg Hardy

Alekander VolkovvsGreg HardyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · Saturday, November 9, 2019Moscow, Moscow, Russia

Official fight result

Alekander Volkov won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Greg Hardy wins(52.0%)

Actual result: Alekander Volkov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Greg Hardy at +230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Alekander Volkov
Red Corner
VS
Greg Hardy
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+230
(30%)
1492
Elo
1419
31
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'7"
Height
6'5"
203.2 cm
Reach
203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alekander VolkovNo prior UFC fights on record.
Greg HardyL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Yorgan De Castro · May 20
W
KOvs Maurice Greene · Oct 20
L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Dec 20
L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Jul 21
L
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Mar 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alekander VolkovMetricGreg Hardy
—
Strikes / min
4.79
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
—
Strike defense
55%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.20
—
Takedown defense
64%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1512Takedowns0.8 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.5
Alekander VolkovGreg Hardy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Alekander Volkov(1 fights)Greg Hardy(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +72.5|Blue -72.5
Recent Form
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score
Red +49.1|Blue -49.1
Grappler Score
Red +50.0|Blue -50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Alekander Volkov

StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights1

Greg Hardy

StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights9