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Bantamweight
5 Rounds
Title Bout
Alejandro Perez won · U-DEC R3
Elo1495
Elo1393
Jose Quinonez

Alejandro PerezvsJose QuinonezUFC Prediction Result

UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · Saturday, November 15, 2014Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Alejandro Perez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlejandro Perez: Well-roundedvsJose Quinonez: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jose Quinonez wins(52.6%)

Actual result: Alejandro Perez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jose Quinonez at -235 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Alejandro Perez has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alejandro Perez
Red Corner
VS
Jose Quinonez
Blue Corner
+215
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-235
(70%)
1495
Elo
1393
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'6"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alejandro Perez
oldest →
W
vs Eddie Wineland · Jul 18
L
vs Cody Stamann · Mar 19
L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jul 19
W
SUBvs Johnny Eduardo · Oct 21
L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 22
latest
Jose QuinonezL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Feb 18
L
SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Mar 19
W
vs Carlos Huachin · Sep 19
L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Mar 20
L
KOvs Louis Smolka · Dec 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alejandro PerezMetricJose Quinonez
3.45
Strikes / min
3.60
3.18
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
61%
Strike defense
64%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
2.70
70%
Takedown defense
42%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.60
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Alejandro Perez(10 fights)Jose Quinonez(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +102.2|Blue -102.2
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alejandro PerezTargetJose Quinonez

By target zone

19
21% acc · 50%
Head
28
29% acc · 74%
3
60% acc · 8%
Body
9
82% acc · 24%
16
48% acc · 42%
Leg
1
33% acc · 3%

By position

38
30% acc · 100%
Distance
28
29% acc · 74%
0
0% acc
Clinch
1
100% acc · 3%
0
Ground
9
75% acc · 24%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Alejandro Perez rounds
2
even
1
Jose Quinonez rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:01
11Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:29Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:06
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jose Quinonez edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control0:18
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
38 / 130
Sig Strikes
38 / 111
30.3%
Sig Str %
34.7%
43 / 135
Total Strikes
48 / 125
1 / 2
TDs
3 / 4
50%
TD %
66.7%
1
Sub Att
2
0
Rev
1
0:25
Ctrl Time
3:29

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jose Quinonez11 / 3811 / 382 / 20
1Alejandro Perez16 / 4916 / 490 / 10
2Jose Quinonez13 / 4313 / 430 / 10
2Alejandro Perez12 / 5412 / 540 / 00
3Jose Quinonez14 / 3024 / 441 / 12
3Alejandro Perez10 / 2715 / 321 / 11

Alejandro Perez

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights12

Jose Quinonez

StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9