Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jonathan Martinez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1504

Alejandro PerezvsJonathan MartinezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Saturday, February 26, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jonathan Martinez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlejandro Perez: Well-roundedvsJonathan Martinez: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Jonathan Martinez wins(61.9%)

Actual result: Jonathan Martinez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jonathan Martinez at -310 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Martinez (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Alejandro Perez

Red Corner

Jonathan Martinez

Blue Corner

+245

(29%)

Vegas Odds

-310

(76%)

1495

Elo

1504

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'8"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alejandro Perez

oldest →

KOvs Matthew Lopez · Apr 18

vs Eddie Wineland · Jul 18

vs Cody Stamann · Mar 19

KOvs Song Yadong · Jul 19

SUBvs Johnny Eduardo · Oct 21

latest

Jonathan MartinezL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Cub Swanson · Oct 22

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Mar 23

KOvs Adrian Yanez · Oct 23

vs Jose Aldo · May 24

vs Marcus McGhee · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alejandro PerezMetricJonathan Martinez

3.45

Strikes / min

4.44

3.18

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

61%

Strike defense

56%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

0.38

70%

Takedown defense

68%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alejandro PerezJonathan Martinez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alejandro Perez(10 fights)Jonathan Martinez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -9.3|Blue +9.3

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alejandro PerezTargetJonathan Martinez

By target zone

27% acc · 65%

Head

39% acc · 49%

73% acc · 15%

Body

68% acc · 31%

100% acc · 19%

Leg

83% acc · 20%

By position

35% acc · 96%

Distance

52% acc · 97%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

40% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alejandro Perez rounds

even

Jonathan Martinez rounds

Round 1Jonathan Martinez edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jonathan Martinez edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 146

Sig Strikes

74 / 144

34.3%

Sig Str %

49.7%

52 / 146

Total Strikes

74 / 144

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jonathan Martinez	22 / 45	22 / 45	0 / 0
1	Alejandro Perez	9 / 30	9 / 30	0 / 0
2	Jonathan Martinez	17 / 38	17 / 38	0 / 0
2	Alejandro Perez	18 / 49	18 / 49	0 / 0
3	Jonathan Martinez	35 / 61	35 / 61	0 / 0
3	Alejandro Perez	25 / 67	25 / 67	0 / 1

Alejandro Perez

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12

Jonathan Martinez

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights15