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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Alejandro Perez won · SUB R2

Elo1495

Elo1409

Alejandro PerezvsJohnny EduardoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · Saturday, October 2, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alejandro Perez won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:13

Style matchupAlejandro Perez: Well-roundedvsJohnny Eduardo: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Alejandro Perez wins(67.9%)

Actual result: Alejandro Perez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alejandro Perez at -300 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alejandro Perez enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Johnny Eduardo has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Alejandro Perez

Red Corner

Johnny Eduardo

Blue Corner

-300

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1495

Elo

1409

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alejandro PerezL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Matthew Lopez · Apr 18

vs Eddie Wineland · Jul 18

vs Cody Stamann · Mar 19

KOvs Song Yadong · Jul 19

vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 22

latest

Johnny EduardoL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Eddie Wineland · May 14

SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 15

KOvs Manvel Gamburyan · Nov 16

KOvs Matthew Lopez · Jun 17

SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Jun 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alejandro PerezMetricJohnny Eduardo

3.45

Strikes / min

2.95

3.18

Strikes absorbed / min

3.22

61%

Strike defense

63%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

0.22

70%

Takedown defense

58%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alejandro PerezJohnny Eduardo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alejandro Perez(10 fights)Johnny Eduardo(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +85.9|Blue -85.9

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -400.0|Blue +400.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alejandro PerezTargetJohnny Eduardo

By target zone

28% acc · 48%

Head

21% acc · 23%

83% acc · 43%

Body

89% acc · 26%

67% acc · 9%

Leg

94% acc · 52%

By position

37% acc · 78%

Distance

51% acc · 90%

100% acc · 9%

Clinch

67% acc · 6%

75% acc · 13%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alejandro Perez rounds

even

Johnny Eduardo rounds

Round 1Johnny Eduardo edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control1:14

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:14Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

23 / 55

Sig Strikes

31 / 59

41.5%

Sig Str %

51%

34 / 66

Total Strikes

38 / 66

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:14

Ctrl Time

1:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Johnny Eduardo	20 / 35	20 / 35	0 / 0	0
1	Alejandro Perez	12 / 31	12 / 31	0 / 0	0
2	Johnny Eduardo	11 / 24	18 / 31	1 / 1	0
2	Alejandro Perez	11 / 24	22 / 35	1 / 1	2

Alejandro Perez

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights12

Johnny Eduardo

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8