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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Alejandro Perez won · S-DEC R3
Elo1495
Elo1376
Andre Soukhamthath

Alejandro PerezvsAndre SoukhamthathUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · Saturday, August 5, 2017Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Alejandro Perez won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlejandro Perez: Well-roundedvsAndre Soukhamthath: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Alejandro Perez wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Alejandro Perez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alejandro Perez at -165 American odds

+$61 profit

$161 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Alejandro Perez has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Alejandro Perez
Red Corner
VS
Andre Soukhamthath
Blue Corner
-165
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
1495
Elo
1376
36
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
170.18 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alejandro Perez
oldest →
W
vs Eddie Wineland · Jul 18
L
vs Cody Stamann · Mar 19
L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jul 19
W
SUBvs Johnny Eduardo · Oct 21
L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 22
latest
Andre SoukhamthathL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Luke Sanders · Dec 17
L
vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 18
W
vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 18
L
vs Montel Jackson · Apr 19
L
vs Su Mudaerji · Aug 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alejandro PerezMetricAndre Soukhamthath
3.45
Strikes / min
2.77
3.18
Strikes absorbed / min
4.31
61%
Strike defense
49%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.25
70%
Takedown defense
58%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.27Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap-1.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1528 vs 1483Strikes37.2 vs 46.0Takedowns0.4 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form0.6 vs -1.0
Alejandro PerezAndre Soukhamthath

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Alejandro Perez(10 fights)Andre Soukhamthath(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +119.1|Blue -119.1
Recent Form
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Striker Score
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red +328.0|Blue -328.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alejandro PerezTargetAndre Soukhamthath

By target zone

22
21% acc · 50%
Head
26
30% acc · 60%
6
67% acc · 14%
Body
9
82% acc · 21%
16
64% acc · 36%
Leg
8
80% acc · 19%

By position

38
30% acc · 86%
Distance
42
41% acc · 98%
3
43% acc · 7%
Clinch
1
20% acc · 2%
3
50% acc · 7%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Alejandro Perez rounds
0
even
2
Andre Soukhamthath rounds
Round 1Andre Soukhamthath edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:07
Knockdowns0
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
2Knockdowns
Round 2Andre Soukhamthath edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control1:05
Knockdowns0
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
1Knockdowns
Round 3Alejandro Perez edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control1:01
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
3
44 / 141
Sig Strikes
43 / 107
31%
Sig Str %
41.3%
97 / 195
Total Strikes
44 / 108
1 / 6
TDs
0 / 0
12.5%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:13
Ctrl Time
0:08

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Andre Soukhamthath13 / 2913 / 290 / 00
1Alejandro Perez15 / 4415 / 440 / 20
2Andre Soukhamthath16 / 3216 / 320 / 00
2Alejandro Perez13 / 4258 / 870 / 00
3Andre Soukhamthath14 / 4615 / 470 / 00
3Alejandro Perez16 / 5524 / 641 / 40

Alejandro Perez

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights12

Andre Soukhamthath

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7