Welterweight

3 Rounds

Alberto Mina won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1491

Alberto MinavsShinsho AnzaiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · Saturday, August 23, 2014Macau, China

Official fight result

Alberto Mina won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:17

Model Prediction: Alberto Mina wins(55.5%)

Actual result: Alberto Mina wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alberto Mina at -225 American odds

+$44 profit

$144 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alberto Mina is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Shinsho Anzai has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Shinsho Anzai has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Alberto Mina has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Alberto Mina

Red Corner

Shinsho Anzai

Blue Corner

-225

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+205

(33%)

1491

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'7"

195.58 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alberto Mina

oldest →

vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Nov 15

KOvs Mike Pyle · Jul 16

vs Ramazan Emeev · May 18

latest

Shinsho Anzai

oldest →

KOvs Roger Zapata · Sep 15

vs Luke Jumeau · Sep 17

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Jun 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alberto MinaMetricShinsho Anzai

3.23

Strikes / min

3.23

3.70

Strikes absorbed / min

3.75

47%

Strike defense

45%

1.85

TDs / 15 min

1.83

50%

Takedown defense

75%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.47evenly matched on net striking-0.52

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alberto Mina(4 fights)Shinsho Anzai(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alberto MinaTargetShinsho Anzai

By target zone

57% acc · 88%

Head

66% acc · 94%

80% acc · 12%

Body

100% acc · 6%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 65%

Distance

65% acc · 84%

60% acc · 9%

Clinch

83% acc · 16%

100% acc · 26%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alberto Mina rounds

even

Shinsho Anzai rounds

Round 1Alberto Mina edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:35

Knockdowns1

31Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:49Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

34 / 58

Sig Strikes

31 / 46

58%

Sig Str %

67%

38 / 62

Total Strikes

41 / 60

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:35

Ctrl Time

0:49

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Shinsho Anzai	31 / 46	41 / 60	1 / 1	0
1	Alberto Mina	34 / 58	38 / 62	0 / 2	0

Alberto Mina

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4

Shinsho Anzai

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4