Welterweight

3 Rounds

Ramazan Emeev won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1428

Alberto MinavsRamazan EmeevUFC Prediction Result

UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · Saturday, May 12, 2018Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Ramazan Emeev won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ramazan Emeev wins(55.8%)

Actual result: Ramazan Emeev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ramazan Emeev at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alberto Mina enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ramazan Emeev has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ramazan Emeev has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ramazan Emeev (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Alberto Mina

Red Corner

Ramazan Emeev

Blue Corner

+150

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

1491

Elo

1428

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

5'10"

195.58 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alberto MinaW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Shinsho Anzai · Aug 14

vs Yoshihiro Akiyama · Nov 15

KOvs Mike Pyle · Jul 16

latest

Ramazan EmeevL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Rocco Martin · Nov 19

vs Niklas Stolze · Jul 20

vs David Zawada · Jan 21

vs Danny Roberts · Oct 21

KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Jun 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alberto MinaMetricRamazan Emeev

3.23

Strikes / min

2.53

3.70

Strikes absorbed / min

2.14

47%

Strike defense

65%

1.85

TDs / 15 min

2.37

50%

Takedown defense

66%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.47evenly matched on net striking+0.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Alberto MinaRamazan Emeev

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alberto Mina(4 fights)Ramazan Emeev(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +63.5|Blue -63.5

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +471.0|Blue -471.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alberto MinaTargetRamazan Emeev

By target zone

8% acc · 42%

Head

42% acc · 72%

27% acc · 25%

Body

57% acc · 21%

67% acc · 33%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

14% acc · 92%

Distance

42% acc · 62%

50% acc · 8%

Clinch

44% acc · 10%

0% acc

Ground

61% acc · 28%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alberto Mina rounds

even

Ramazan Emeev rounds

Round 1Ramazan Emeev edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns1

Control0:05

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:14Control

Round 2Ramazan Emeev edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:39Control

Round 3Ramazan Emeev edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:15Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 82

Sig Strikes

39 / 84

18.3%

Sig Str %

46%

16 / 87

Total Strikes

54 / 100

1 / 5

TDs

3 / 6

16.7%

TD %

38.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

5:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ramazan Emeev	13 / 27	15 / 29	1 / 2
1	Alberto Mina	4 / 25	4 / 25	1 / 2
2	Ramazan Emeev	12 / 28	23 / 40	2 / 3
2	Alberto Mina	4 / 13	8 / 18	0 / 2
3	Ramazan Emeev	14 / 29	16 / 31	0 / 1
3	Alberto Mina	4 / 44	4 / 44	0 / 1

Alberto Mina

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4

Ramazan Emeev

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights8