Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Manny Bermudez won · SUB R2

Elo1364

Elo1377

Albert MoralesvsManny BermudezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens · Saturday, February 24, 2018Orlando, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Manny Bermudez won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:33

Style matchupAlbert Morales: Well-roundedvsManny Bermudez: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Albert Morales wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Manny Bermudez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Albert Morales at +155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Albert Morales has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Albert Morales has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Albert Morales

Red Corner

Manny Bermudez

Blue Corner

+155

(39%)

Vegas Odds

-175

(64%)

1364

Elo

1377

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Albert MoralesL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Thomas Almeida · Nov 16

vs Andre Soukhamthath · Mar 17

vs Brett Johns · Jul 17

vs Benito Lopez · Dec 17

latest

Manny BermudezL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Davey Grant · Jul 18

SUBvs Benito Lopez · Feb 19

vs Casey Kenney · Aug 19

SUBvs Charles Rosa · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Albert MoralesMetricManny Bermudez

3.81

Strikes / min

2.92

3.96

Strikes absorbed / min

2.68

56%

Strike defense

46%

0.91

TDs / 15 min

3.06

70%

Takedown defense

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

3.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.15evenly matched on net striking+0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Albert MoralesManny Bermudez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Albert Morales(5 fights)Manny Bermudez(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -13.0|Blue +13.0

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -46.5|Blue +46.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Albert MoralesTargetManny Bermudez

By target zone

32% acc · 84%

Head

43% acc · 100%

50% acc · 5%

Body

100% acc · 11%

Leg

By position

28% acc · 63%

Distance

32% acc · 50%

Clinch

64% acc · 37%

Ground

67% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Albert Morales rounds

even

Manny Bermudez rounds

Round 1Albert Morales edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control2:43

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:53Control

Round 2Albert Morales edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:57

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 54

Sig Strikes

12 / 28

37%

Sig Str %

45%

30 / 66

Total Strikes

27 / 43

1 / 1

TDs

1 / 5

100%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

3:40

Ctrl Time

1:57

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Manny Bermudez	4 / 8	13 / 17	1 / 1	2
1	Albert Morales	8 / 18	19 / 30	1 / 1	0
2	Manny Bermudez	8 / 20	14 / 26	0 / 4	1
2	Albert Morales	11 / 36	11 / 36	0 / 0	0

Albert Morales

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5

Manny Bermudez

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights5