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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Benito Lopez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1364

Elo1495

Albert MoralesvsBenito LopezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · Saturday, December 9, 2017Fresno, California, USA

Official fight result

Benito Lopez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlbert Morales: Well-roundedvsBenito Lopez: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Albert Morales wins(57.3%)

Actual result: Benito Lopez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Albert Morales at +105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Benito Lopez (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Albert Morales

Red Corner

Benito Lopez

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1364

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'9"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Albert MoralesL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Thomas Almeida · Nov 16

vs Andre Soukhamthath · Mar 17

vs Brett Johns · Jul 17

SUBvs Manny Bermudez · Feb 18

latest

Benito Lopez

oldest →

SUBvs Manny Bermudez · Feb 19

vs Vince Morales · Jul 19

SUBvs Mario Bautista · Nov 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Albert MoralesMetricBenito Lopez

3.81

Strikes / min

4.39

3.96

Strikes absorbed / min

5.18

56%

Strike defense

56%

0.91

TDs / 15 min

0.00

70%

Takedown defense

73%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.15evenly matched on net striking-0.79

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Albert MoralesBenito Lopez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Albert Morales(5 fights)Benito Lopez(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -130.8|Blue +130.8

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -46.3|Blue +46.3

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Albert MoralesTargetBenito Lopez

By target zone

29% acc · 58%

Head

38% acc · 71%

67% acc · 18%

Body

48% acc · 19%

83% acc · 24%

Leg

67% acc · 10%

By position

39% acc · 94%

Distance

41% acc · 95%

42% acc · 6%

Clinch

57% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Albert Morales rounds

even

Benito Lopez rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control3:02

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:53Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Benito Lopez edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

78 / 198

Sig Strikes

78 / 187

41.7%

Sig Str %

41.3%

109 / 252

Total Strikes

79 / 188

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:02

Ctrl Time

0:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Benito Lopez	11 / 26	12 / 27	0 / 0	1
1	Albert Morales	15 / 29	46 / 83	0 / 1	0
2	Benito Lopez	34 / 83	34 / 83	0 / 0	0
2	Albert Morales	29 / 82	29 / 82	0 / 0	0
3	Benito Lopez	33 / 78	33 / 78	0 / 0	0
3	Albert Morales	34 / 87	34 / 87	0 / 0	0

Albert Morales

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5

Benito Lopez

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4