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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Albert Morales won · S-DEC R3

Elo1364

Elo1376

Albert MoralesvsAndre SoukhamthathUFC Prediction Result

UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · Saturday, March 4, 2017Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Albert Morales won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlbert Morales: Well-roundedvsAndre Soukhamthath: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Albert Morales wins(58.3%)

Actual result: Albert Morales wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Albert Morales at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Albert Morales enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Albert Morales

Red Corner

Andre Soukhamthath

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1364

Elo

1376

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'9"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Albert MoralesL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Thomas Almeida · Nov 16

vs Brett Johns · Jul 17

vs Benito Lopez · Dec 17

SUBvs Manny Bermudez · Feb 18

latest

Andre SoukhamthathL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Luke Sanders · Dec 17

vs Sean O'Malley · Mar 18

vs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 18

vs Montel Jackson · Apr 19

vs Su Mudaerji · Aug 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Albert MoralesMetricAndre Soukhamthath

3.81

Strikes / min

2.77

3.96

Strikes absorbed / min

4.31

56%

Strike defense

49%

0.91

TDs / 15 min

1.25

70%

Takedown defense

58%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.15Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap-1.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Albert MoralesAndre Soukhamthath

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Albert Morales(5 fights)Andre Soukhamthath(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -11.6|Blue +11.6

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -45.1|Blue +45.1

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Albert MoralesTargetAndre Soukhamthath

By target zone

33% acc · 61%

Head

31% acc · 54%

100% acc · 4%

Body

56% acc · 30%

74% acc · 36%

Leg

70% acc · 15%

By position

39% acc · 84%

Distance

33% acc · 74%

75% acc · 5%

Clinch

67% acc · 4%

100% acc · 11%

Ground

100% acc · 22%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Albert Morales rounds

even

Andre Soukhamthath rounds

Round 1Albert Morales edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control1:26

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:49Control

Round 3Albert Morales edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control3:16

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:29Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 132

Sig Strikes

46 / 116

38.7%

Sig Str %

39.7%

79 / 172

Total Strikes

73 / 148

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 1

33%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:42

Ctrl Time

2:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Andre Soukhamthath	16 / 51	16 / 51	0 / 0
1	Albert Morales	27 / 56	27 / 56	0 / 0
2	Andre Soukhamthath	9 / 28	22 / 42	0 / 0
2	Albert Morales	6 / 28	12 / 37	1 / 3
3	Andre Soukhamthath	21 / 37	35 / 55	0 / 1
3	Albert Morales	23 / 48	40 / 79	0 / 0

Albert Morales

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5

Andre Soukhamthath

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights7