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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Albert Duraev won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1520

Albert DuraevvsRoman KopylovUFC Prediction Result

UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Saturday, October 30, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Albert Duraev won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlbert Duraev: Well-roundedvsRoman Kopylov: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Roman Kopylov wins(62.6%)

Actual result: Albert Duraev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Roman Kopylov at +290 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Roman Kopylov is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Albert Duraev has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Roman Kopylov has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Roman Kopylov (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Albert Duraev

Red Corner

Roman Kopylov

Blue Corner

-380

(79%)

Vegas Odds

+290

(26%)

1497

Elo

1520

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Albert Duraev

oldest →

KOvs Joaquin Buckley · Jun 22

vs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 23

SUBvs JunYong Park · Jul 23

latest

Roman Kopylov

oldest →

vs Cesar Almeida · Jun 24

KOvs Chris Curtis · Jan 25

vs Paulo Costa · Jul 25

vs Gregory Rodrigues · Nov 25

DECvs Marco Tulio · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Albert DuraevMetricRoman Kopylov

2.99

Strikes / min

4.54

3.01

Strikes absorbed / min

5.08

59%

Strike defense

53%

1.97

TDs / 15 min

1.12

66%

Takedown defense

88%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.02evenly matched on net striking-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Albert DuraevRoman Kopylov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Albert Duraev(4 fights)Roman Kopylov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -23.2|Blue +23.2

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Albert DuraevTargetRoman Kopylov

By target zone

46% acc · 76%

Head

39% acc · 71%

75% acc · 8%

Body

58% acc · 17%

79% acc · 15%

Leg

100% acc · 12%

By position

45% acc · 58%

Distance

43% acc · 83%

Clinch

50% acc · 5%

63% acc · 42%

Ground

63% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Albert Duraev rounds

even

Roman Kopylov rounds

Round 1Albert Duraev edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Albert Duraev edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns1

Control4:25

Knockdowns0

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Roman Kopylov edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control1:08

23Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:23Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

71 / 140

Sig Strikes

42 / 93

49.7%

Sig Str %

56.7%

152 / 265

Total Strikes

54 / 111

1 / 9

TDs

1 / 2

12.5%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

5:33

Ctrl Time

0:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Roman Kopylov	12 / 45	13 / 46	0 / 1	0
1	Albert Duraev	25 / 54	25 / 54	0 / 0	0
2	Roman Kopylov	7 / 8	16 / 23	0 / 0	0
2	Albert Duraev	31 / 52	111 / 174	1 / 4	1
3	Roman Kopylov	23 / 40	25 / 42	1 / 1	0
3	Albert Duraev	15 / 34	16 / 37	0 / 5	0

Albert Duraev

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4

Roman Kopylov

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12