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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Alatengheili won · U-DEC R3
Elo1495
Alatengheili
Elo1492

AlatengheilivsKleydson RodriguesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · Saturday, May 18, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alatengheili won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Kleydson Rodrigues wins(55.9%)

Actual result: Alatengheili wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Alatengheili has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Alatengheili
Red Corner
VS
Kleydson Rodrigues
Blue Corner
Vegas Odds
1495
Elo
1492
34
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
167.64 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

AlatengheiliL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Kevin Croom · Apr 22
W
vs Chad Anheliger · Sep 22
L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Oct 23
L
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Apr 25
latest
Kleydson Rodrigues
oldest →
L
vs CJ Vergara · May 22
W
KOvs Shannon Ross · Feb 23
L
SUBvs Farid Basharat · Sep 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

AlatengheiliMetricKleydson Rodrigues
2.82
Strikes / min
4.58
5.12
Strikes absorbed / min
2.29
57%
Strike defense
53%
1.74
TDs / 15 min
0.60
75%
Takedown defense
53%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.30Δ 4.59 — meaningful gap+2.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1485Strikes2.6 vs 4.6Takedowns2.0 vs 0.6Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.60Form-0.2 vs -0.4
AlatengheiliKleydson Rodrigues

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Alatengheili(5 fights)Kleydson Rodrigues(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +3.2|Blue -3.2
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

AlatengheiliTargetKleydson Rodrigues

By target zone

14
28% acc · 78%
Head
15
27% acc · 41%
3
38% acc · 17%
Body
10
67% acc · 27%
1
100% acc · 6%
Leg
12
67% acc · 32%

By position

15
28% acc · 83%
Distance
37
42% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
3
50% acc · 17%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Alatengheili rounds
0
even
2
Kleydson Rodrigues rounds
Round 1Alatengheili edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control4:10
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
Round 2Kleydson Rodrigues edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control2:05
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Kleydson Rodrigues edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control2:01
16Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
18 / 59
Sig Strikes
37 / 88
35.7%
Sig Str %
45%
107 / 183
Total Strikes
70 / 126
3 / 4
TDs
0 / 1
83.3%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
8:16
Ctrl Time
0:30

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Kleydson Rodrigues2 / 49 / 140 / 00
1Alatengheili3 / 649 / 731 / 20
2Kleydson Rodrigues19 / 5030 / 620 / 00
2Alatengheili8 / 2524 / 481 / 10
3Kleydson Rodrigues16 / 3431 / 500 / 10
3Alatengheili7 / 2834 / 621 / 10

Alatengheili

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5

Kleydson Rodrigues

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights4