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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Alatengheili won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1495
Alatengheili
Elo1421

AlatengheilivsKevin CroomUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · Saturday, April 16, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Alatengheili won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:47

Model Prediction: Alatengheili wins(56.2%)

Actual result: Alatengheili wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kevin Croom enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Alatengheili has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Alatengheili has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Kevin Croom has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Alatengheili
Red Corner
VS
Kevin Croom
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
+155
(39%)
1495
Elo
1421
34
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'11"
167.64 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alatengheili
oldest →
W
vs Chad Anheliger · Sep 22
L
vs Chris Gutierrez · Oct 23
W
vs Kleydson Rodrigues · May 24
L
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Apr 25
latest
Kevin CroomL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Sep 20
L
vs Alex Caceres · Feb 21
L
vs Brian Kelleher · Jan 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

AlatengheiliMetricKevin Croom
2.82
Strikes / min
2.65
5.12
Strikes absorbed / min
3.10
57%
Strike defense
41%
1.74
TDs / 15 min
0.48
75%
Takedown defense
30%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.30Δ 1.85 — meaningful gap-0.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1491Strikes2.6 vs 2.6Takedowns2.0 vs 0.5Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.50Form0.0 vs -0.7
AlatengheiliKevin Croom

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Alatengheili(5 fights)Kevin Croom(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +73.9|Blue -73.9
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Grappler Score
Red +49.8|Blue -49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

AlatengheiliTargetKevin Croom

By target zone

9
56% acc · 100%
Head
0
0% acc
0
0% acc
Body
1
17% acc · 50%
0
Leg
1
100% acc · 50%

By position

8
53% acc · 89%
Distance
2
17% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
1
50% acc · 11%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Alatengheili rounds
0
even
0
Kevin Croom rounds
Round 1Alatengheili edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
9 / 17
Sig Strikes
2 / 12
52%
Sig Str %
16%
9 / 17
Total Strikes
2 / 12
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:01
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Kevin Croom2 / 122 / 120 / 00
1Alatengheili9 / 179 / 170 / 00

Alatengheili

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5

Kevin Croom

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4