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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jim Alers won · S-DEC R3

Elo1355

Elo1357

Alan OmervsJim AlersUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · Friday, April 11, 2014Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Jim Alers won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAlan Omer: Well-roundedvsJim Alers: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Alan Omer wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Jim Alers wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alan Omer at +210 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Alan Omer

Red Corner

Jim Alers

Blue Corner

+210

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-230

(70%)

1355

Elo

1357

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'9"

180.34 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alan Omer

oldest →

SUBvs Arnold Allen · Jun 15

latest

Jim AlersL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chas Skelly · Feb 15

vs Jason Knight · Jul 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alan OmerMetricJim Alers

3.49

Strikes / min

2.90

2.21

Strikes absorbed / min

4.38

64%

Strike defense

56%

1.69

TDs / 15 min

2.26

66%

Takedown defense

80%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.28Δ 2.76 — meaningful gap-1.48

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Alan Omer(2 fights)Jim Alers(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.6|Blue +2.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alan OmerTargetJim Alers

By target zone

47% acc · 57%

Head

29% acc · 56%

67% acc · 17%

Body

56% acc · 14%

94% acc · 26%

Leg

79% acc · 31%

By position

45% acc · 45%

Distance

25% acc · 39%

81% acc · 38%

Clinch

55% acc · 33%

63% acc · 17%

Ground

71% acc · 28%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Alan Omer rounds

even

Jim Alers rounds

Round 1Alan Omer edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:49

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:38Control

Round 2Alan Omer edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control1:15

Knockdowns0

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:33Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Jim Alers edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control0:57

10Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:14Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

58 / 101

Sig Strikes

36 / 93

59.7%

Sig Str %

43.7%

69 / 112

Total Strikes

97 / 163

1 / 3

TDs

2 / 5

33%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

3:01

Ctrl Time

6:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jim Alers	17 / 53	20 / 56	0 / 1
1	Alan Omer	21 / 44	21 / 44	0 / 0
2	Jim Alers	9 / 24	37 / 58	0 / 2
2	Alan Omer	22 / 36	27 / 41	0 / 0
3	Jim Alers	10 / 16	40 / 49	2 / 2
3	Alan Omer	15 / 21	21 / 27	1 / 3

Alan Omer

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach—

Fights2

Jim Alers

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3