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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alan Jouban won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1493
Elo1359

Alan JoubanvsRichard WalshUFC Prediction Result

UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · Saturday, February 28, 2015Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Alan Jouban won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:19

Style matchupAlan Jouban: Pressure fightervsRichard Walsh: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Richard Walsh wins(65.0%)

Actual result: Alan Jouban wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Richard Walsh at +230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Alan Jouban (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Alan Jouban
Red Corner
VS
Richard Walsh
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+230
(30%)
1493
Elo
1359
44
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Alan Jouban
oldest →
L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 17
L
KOvs Niko Price · Aug 17
W
KOvs Ben Saunders · Feb 18
L
vs Dwight Grant · Apr 19
W
vs Jared Gooden · Nov 20
latest
Richard WalshL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Chris Indich · Apr 14
L
vs Kiichi Kunimoto · Sep 14
W
vs Steve Kennedy · Nov 15
L
vs Viscardi Andrade · Mar 16
L
vs Jonathan Meunier · Nov 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Alan JoubanMetricRichard Walsh
5.67
Strikes / min
3.84
3.77
Strikes absorbed / min
2.72
60%
Strike defense
58%
0.51
TDs / 15 min
1.55
58%
Takedown defense
66%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.90evenly matched on net striking+1.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1501 vs 1501Strikes52.0 vs 65.0Takedowns0.0 vs 2.5Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs -0.2
Alan JoubanRichard Walsh

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Alan Jouban(10 fights)Richard Walsh(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +134.4|Blue -134.4
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Alan JoubanTargetRichard Walsh

By target zone

7
39% acc · 58%
Head
3
27% acc · 30%
4
80% acc · 33%
Body
5
100% acc · 50%
1
50% acc · 8%
Leg
2
50% acc · 20%

By position

8
50% acc · 67%
Distance
8
44% acc · 80%
4
44% acc · 33%
Clinch
2
100% acc · 20%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Alan Jouban rounds
1
even
0
Richard Walsh rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:01
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:17Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
12 / 25
Sig Strikes
10 / 20
48%
Sig Str %
50%
12 / 25
Total Strikes
14 / 25
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:01
Ctrl Time
0:17

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Richard Walsh10 / 2014 / 250 / 00
1Alan Jouban12 / 2512 / 250 / 00

Alan Jouban

StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights13

Richard Walsh

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6