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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Akira Corassani won · U-DEC R3
Elo1354
Akira Corassani
Elo1354

Akira CorassanivsRobert PeraltaUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · Saturday, April 6, 2013Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Akira Corassani won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAkira Corassani: Well-roundedvsRobert Peralta: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Akira Corassani wins(65.8%)

Actual result: Akira Corassani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Akira Corassani at +420 American odds

+$420 profit

$520 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Akira Corassani enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Robert Peralta is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Akira Corassani has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Akira Corassani has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Akira Corassani
Red Corner
VS
Robert Peralta
Blue Corner
+420
(19%)
Vegas Odds
-475
(83%)
1354
Elo
1354
43
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Akira CorassaniL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Andy Ogle · Sep 12
W
vs Maximo Blanco · Nov 13
L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Apr 14
L
KOvs Max Holloway · Oct 14
L
KOvs Sam Sicilia · Jan 15
latest
Robert PeraltaL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Jason Young · Sep 12
W
KOvs Estevan Payan · Dec 13
W
vs Rony Jason · May 14
L
SUBvs Thiago Tavares · Aug 14
L
vs Clay Guida · Apr 15
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Akira CorassaniMetricRobert Peralta
3.25
Strikes / min
3.76
4.91
Strikes absorbed / min
2.97
50%
Strike defense
53%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
0.59
86%
Takedown defense
65%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.66Δ 2.45 — meaningful gap+0.79

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1530Strikes45.0 vs 42.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Akira CorassaniRobert Peralta

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Akira Corassani(6 fights)Robert Peralta(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Akira CorassaniTargetRobert Peralta

By target zone

18
37% acc · 38%
Head
29
30% acc · 43%
9
75% acc · 19%
Body
20
74% acc · 30%
21
84% acc · 44%
Leg
18
95% acc · 27%

By position

38
54% acc · 79%
Distance
28
29% acc · 42%
10
67% acc · 21%
Clinch
34
79% acc · 51%
0
Ground
5
100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Akira Corassani rounds
0
even
1
Robert Peralta rounds
Round 1Akira Corassani edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:32
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
Round 2Robert Peralta edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:49
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:09Control
Round 3Akira Corassani edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns2
Control3:08
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:33Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
48 / 86
Sig Strikes
67 / 144
55.3%
Sig Str %
47.7%
57 / 96
Total Strikes
94 / 172
2 / 6
TDs
0 / 2
16.7%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
4:29
Ctrl Time
2:11

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Robert Peralta17 / 5419 / 560 / 10
1Akira Corassani19 / 3421 / 360 / 10
2Robert Peralta30 / 5738 / 650 / 10
2Akira Corassani18 / 3320 / 360 / 10
3Robert Peralta20 / 3337 / 510 / 00
3Akira Corassani11 / 1916 / 242 / 40

Akira Corassani

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6

Robert Peralta

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7