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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Akira Corassani won · DQ R1
Elo1354
Akira Corassani
Elo1358
Maximo Blanco

Akira CorassanivsMaximo BlancoUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · Saturday, November 30, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Akira Corassani won

DQ · Round 1 · 0:25

Style matchupAkira Corassani: Well-roundedvsMaximo Blanco: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: Akira Corassani wins(66.2%)

Actual result: Akira Corassani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Akira Corassani at +177 American odds

+$177 profit

$277 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Akira Corassani enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Maximo Blanco has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Akira Corassani has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Akira Corassani
Red Corner
VS
Maximo Blanco
Blue Corner
+177
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-192
(66%)
1354
Elo
1358
43
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
172.72 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Akira CorassaniL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Andy Ogle · Sep 12
W
vs Robert Peralta · Apr 13
L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Apr 14
L
KOvs Max Holloway · Oct 14
L
KOvs Sam Sicilia · Jan 15
latest
Maximo BlancoL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Andy Ogle · May 14
W
vs Dan Hooker · Sep 14
W
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Jul 15
L
SUBvs Luke Sanders · Jan 16
L
SUBvs Chas Skelly · Sep 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Akira CorassaniMetricMaximo Blanco
3.25
Strikes / min
4.11
4.91
Strikes absorbed / min
3.19
50%
Strike defense
66%
0.70
TDs / 15 min
1.85
86%
Takedown defense
63%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.66Δ 2.58 — meaningful gap+0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1533 vs 1502Strikes46.5 vs 35.0Takedowns1.0 vs 1.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.50Form1.0 vs 0.5
Akira CorassaniMaximo Blanco

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Akira Corassani(6 fights)Maximo Blanco(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -3.8|Blue +3.8
Recent Form
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Akira CorassaniTargetMaximo Blanco

By target zone

1
50% acc · 100%
Head
5
71% acc · 100%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

1
50% acc · 100%
Distance
2
50% acc · 40%
0
Clinch
2
100% acc · 40%
0
Ground
1
100% acc · 20%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Akira Corassani rounds
0
even
1
Maximo Blanco rounds
Round 1Maximo Blanco edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:15Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
1 / 2
Sig Strikes
5 / 7
50%
Sig Str %
71%
1 / 2
Total Strikes
7 / 9
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 1
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:15

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Maximo Blanco5 / 77 / 91 / 10
1Akira Corassani1 / 21 / 20 / 00

Akira Corassani

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights6

Maximo Blanco

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights9