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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Max Holloway won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1354

Elo1517

Akira CorassanivsMax HollowayUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · Saturday, October 4, 2014Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Max Holloway won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:11

Style matchupAkira Corassani: Well-roundedvsMax Holloway: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Akira Corassani wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Max Holloway wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Akira Corassani at +480 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Max Holloway is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Akira Corassani has lost 100% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Akira Corassani

Red Corner

Max Holloway

Blue Corner

+480

(17%)

Vegas Odds

-570

(85%)

1354

Elo

1517

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'11"

172.72 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Akira CorassaniL2 streak

oldest →

vs Andy Ogle · Sep 12

vs Robert Peralta · Apr 13

vs Maximo Blanco · Nov 13

KOvs Dustin Poirier · Apr 14

KOvs Sam Sicilia · Jan 15

latest

Max Holloway

oldest →

KOvs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24

KOvs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24

vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25

vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26

KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Akira CorassaniMetricMax Holloway

3.25

Strikes / min

6.91

4.91

Strikes absorbed / min

4.61

50%

Strike defense

58%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

0.23

86%

Takedown defense

81%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.66Δ 3.96 — meaningful gap+2.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Akira CorassaniMax Holloway

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Akira Corassani(6 fights)Max Holloway(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -163.3|Blue +163.3

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +129.0|Blue -129.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Akira CorassaniTargetMax Holloway

By target zone

35% acc · 73%

Head

60% acc · 81%

100% acc · 9%

Body

67% acc · 13%

40% acc · 18%

Leg

67% acc · 6%

By position

38% acc · 91%

Distance

56% acc · 65%

33% acc · 9%

Clinch

67% acc · 13%

Ground

78% acc · 23%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Akira Corassani rounds

even

Max Holloway rounds

Round 1Max Holloway edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:10

Knockdowns0

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 29

Sig Strikes

31 / 51

37%

Sig Str %

60%

11 / 29

Total Strikes

38 / 62

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:10

Ctrl Time

0:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Max Holloway	31 / 51	38 / 62	0 / 0	0
1	Akira Corassani	11 / 29	11 / 29	0 / 0	0

Akira Corassani

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6

Max Holloway

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights33