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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Tiago Trator won · Decision R3
Elo1356
Elo1491

Akbarh ArreolavsTiago TratorUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · Saturday, July 26, 2014San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

Tiago Trator won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Akbarh Arreola wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Tiago Trator wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Akbarh Arreola at +275 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Akbarh Arreola (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Akbarh Arreola
Red Corner
VS
Tiago Trator
Blue Corner
+275
(27%)
Vegas Odds
-305
(75%)
1356
Elo
1491
43
Age
27
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Akbarh ArreolaL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Yves Edwards · Nov 14
L
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 15
L
KOvs Jake Matthews · Nov 15
latest
Tiago Trator
oldest →
L
KOvs Mike de la Torre · Feb 15
W
DECvs Clay Collard · Sep 15
L
DECvs Shane Burgos · Dec 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Akbarh ArreolaMetricTiago Trator
2.32
Strikes / min
—
4.01
Strikes absorbed / min
—
56%
Strike defense
—
1.07
TDs / 15 min
—
33%
Takedown defense
—
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Akbarh Arreola(4 fights)Tiago Trator(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -135.0|Blue +135.0
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Akbarh Arreola

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4

Tiago Trator

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights2