Middleweight

3 Rounds

Jacob Malkoun won · U-DEC R3

Elo1495

Elo1529

AJ DobsonvsJacob MalkounUFC Prediction Result

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · Saturday, February 12, 2022Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Jacob Malkoun won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAJ Dobson: Pressure fightervsJacob Malkoun: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jacob Malkoun wins(69.4%)

Actual result: Jacob Malkoun wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jacob Malkoun at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jacob Malkoun enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

AJ Dobson

Red Corner

Jacob Malkoun

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1495

Elo

1529

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'9"

193.04 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

AJ Dobson

oldest →

vs Armen Petrosyan · Oct 22

vs Tafon Nchukwi · Aug 23

KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Mar 24

latest

Jacob MalkounW3 streak

oldest →

vs Nick Maximov · Oct 22

vs Cody Brundage · Sep 23

KOvs Andre Petroski · Mar 24

vs Torrez Finney · Jan 26

DECvs Gerald Meerschaert · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

AJ DobsonMetricJacob Malkoun

4.29

Strikes / min

4.23

5.31

Strikes absorbed / min

2.33

46%

Strike defense

55%

1.67

TDs / 15 min

5.39

65%

Takedown defense

55%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.02Δ 2.92 — meaningful gap+1.90

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

AJ DobsonJacob Malkoun

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

AJ Dobson(4 fights)Jacob Malkoun(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -34.4|Blue +34.4

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +49.8|Blue -49.8

Grappler Score

Red +49.3|Blue -49.3

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

AJ DobsonTargetJacob Malkoun

By target zone

52% acc · 79%

Head

59% acc · 88%

100% acc · 12%

Body

100% acc · 11%

100% acc · 10%

Leg

100% acc · 1%

By position

56% acc · 85%

Distance

51% acc · 36%

56% acc · 10%

Clinch

57% acc · 5%

100% acc · 6%

Ground

73% acc · 59%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

AJ Dobson rounds

even

Jacob Malkoun rounds

Round 1AJ Dobson edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:10

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:01Control

Round 2Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:17

25Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:45Control

Round 3Jacob Malkoun edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

4:31Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 90

Sig Strikes

80 / 128

56.3%

Sig Str %

63%

68 / 110

Total Strikes

183 / 255

0 / 0

TDs

6 / 16

—

TD %

45.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:27

Ctrl Time

9:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jacob Malkoun	24 / 48	26 / 50	1 / 8
1	AJ Dobson	41 / 69	46 / 75	0 / 0
2	Jacob Malkoun	25 / 37	82 / 108	2 / 4
2	AJ Dobson	4 / 12	5 / 13	0 / 0
3	Jacob Malkoun	31 / 43	75 / 97	3 / 4
3	AJ Dobson	7 / 9	17 / 22	0 / 0

AJ Dobson

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4

Jacob Malkoun

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8