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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Aisling Daly won · SUB R1

Elo1490

Elo1368

Aisling DalyvsAlex ChambersUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · Friday, December 12, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Aisling Daly won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:53

Style matchupAisling Daly: WrestlervsAlex Chambers: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Alex Chambers wins(52.2%)

Actual result: Aisling Daly wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alex Chambers at +200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alex Chambers enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Aisling Daly threatens submissions; Alex Chambers has lost 75% of fights by sub.
Alex Chambers has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Aisling Daly

Red Corner

Alex Chambers

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1490

Elo

1368

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'2"

Height

5'3"

162.56 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aisling Daly

oldest →

vs Randa Markos · Apr 15

vs Ericka Almeida · Oct 15

latest

Alex ChambersL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Kailin Curran · May 15

SUBvs Paige VanZant · Sep 15

vs Nadia Kassem · Nov 17

SUBvs Livinha Souza · Sep 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Aisling DalyMetricAlex Chambers

2.92

Strikes / min

2.97

1.40

Strikes absorbed / min

5.10

55%

Strike defense

50%

2.15

TDs / 15 min

2.31

33%

Takedown defense

53%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.52Δ 3.65 — meaningful gap-2.13

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Aisling Daly(3 fights)Alex Chambers(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +122.8|Blue -122.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Aisling DalyTargetAlex Chambers

By target zone

62% acc · 81%

Head

71% acc · 42%

60% acc · 19%

Body

67% acc · 17%

Leg

100% acc · 42%

By position

45% acc · 31%

Distance

86% acc · 50%

50% acc · 13%

Clinch

83% acc · 42%

82% acc · 56%

Ground

50% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Aisling Daly rounds

even

Alex Chambers rounds

Round 1Aisling Daly edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control3:05

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:13Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

16 / 26

Sig Strikes

12 / 15

61%

Sig Str %

80%

52 / 68

Total Strikes

12 / 15

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 1

50%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

3:05

Ctrl Time

1:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alex Chambers	12 / 15	12 / 15	1 / 1	0
1	Aisling Daly	16 / 26	52 / 68	1 / 2	1

Aisling Daly

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights3

Alex Chambers

StanceSouthpaw

Height63.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights5