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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ailin Perez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1546

Elo1567

Ailin PerezvsJoselyne EdwardsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Saturday, June 1, 2024Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Ailin Perez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAilin Perez: WrestlervsJoselyne Edwards: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ailin Perez wins(56.1%)

Actual result: Ailin Perez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ailin Perez enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joselyne Edwards enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Ailin Perez (52.9%).
Joselyne Edwards has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ailin Perez

Red Corner

Joselyne Edwards

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1546

Elo

1567

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'8"

167.64 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ailin PerezW5 streak

oldest →

vs Ashlee Evans-Smith · Jul 23

vs Lucie Pudilova · Nov 23

SUBvs Daria Zhelezniakova · Sep 24

vs Karol Rosa · Jan 25

vs Macy Chiasson · Feb 26

latest

Joselyne EdwardsW5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Tamires Vidal · Oct 24

KOvs Chelsea Chandler · Apr 25

KOvs Priscila Cachoeira · Aug 25

SUBvs Nora Cornolle · Feb 26

DECvs Norma Dumont · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ailin PerezMetricJoselyne Edwards

2.88

Strikes / min

4.61

1.58

Strikes absorbed / min

3.26

56%

Strike defense

50%

4.90

TDs / 15 min

1.29

72%

Takedown defense

62%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.30evenly matched on net striking+1.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ailin PerezJoselyne Edwards

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ailin Perez(7 fights)Joselyne Edwards(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -20.4|Blue +20.4

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red -77.0|Blue +77.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ailin PerezTargetJoselyne Edwards

By target zone

57% acc · 38%

Head

24% acc · 33%

79% acc · 36%

Body

57% acc · 30%

73% acc · 26%

Leg

77% acc · 37%

By position

55% acc · 57%

Distance

41% acc · 89%

100% acc · 19%

Clinch

33% acc · 4%

100% acc · 24%

Ground

100% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ailin Perez rounds

even

Joselyne Edwards rounds

Round 1Ailin Perez edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns3

Control3:08

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:13Control

Round 2Ailin Perez edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control0:20

Knockdowns1

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:19Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Ailin Perez edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns2

Control0:50

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

42 / 62

Sig Strikes

27 / 64

68.3%

Sig Str %

41%

68 / 91

Total Strikes

130 / 179

6 / 11

TDs

0 / 0

61%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:18

Ctrl Time

5:11

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joselyne Edwards	3 / 6	32 / 35	0 / 0	0
1	Ailin Perez	14 / 17	30 / 35	3 / 3	0
2	Joselyne Edwards	3 / 10	64 / 83	0 / 0	1
2	Ailin Perez	9 / 15	15 / 22	1 / 2	0
3	Joselyne Edwards	21 / 48	34 / 61	0 / 0	0
3	Ailin Perez	19 / 30	23 / 34	2 / 6	0

Ailin Perez

StanceSwitch

Height65.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7

Joselyne Edwards

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights12