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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Aiemann Zahabi won · U-DEC R3

Elo1522

Elo1466

Aiemann ZahabivsRicky TurciosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · Saturday, July 9, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Aiemann Zahabi won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAiemann Zahabi: Pressure fightervsRicky Turcios: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Ricky Turcios wins(74.5%)

Actual result: Aiemann Zahabi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ricky Turcios at -230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ricky Turcios enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Aiemann Zahabi has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Aiemann Zahabi has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Aiemann Zahabi

Red Corner

Ricky Turcios

Blue Corner

+195

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-230

(70%)

1522

Elo

1466

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'9"

172.72 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aiemann Zahabi

oldest →

vs Javid Basharat · Mar 24

vs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 24

vs Jose Aldo · May 25

vs Marlon Vera · Oct 25

KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 26

latest

Ricky TurciosL3 streak

oldest →

vs Brady Hiestand · Aug 21

vs Kevin Natividad · Nov 22

SUBvs Raul Rosas Jr. · Jun 24

vs Benardo Sopaj · Jan 25

SUBvs Alberto Montes · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Aiemann ZahabiMetricRicky Turcios

4.54

Strikes / min

4.68

4.08

Strikes absorbed / min

3.84

69%

Strike defense

51%

0.12

TDs / 15 min

0.85

83%

Takedown defense

44%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.46evenly matched on net striking+0.84

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Aiemann ZahabiRicky Turcios

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Aiemann Zahabi(10 fights)Ricky Turcios(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +189.0|Blue -189.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Aiemann ZahabiTargetRicky Turcios

By target zone

31% acc · 33%

Head

7% acc · 52%

64% acc · 17%

Body

24% acc · 19%

84% acc · 50%

Leg

80% acc · 30%

By position

51% acc · 98%

Distance

11% acc · 100%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Aiemann Zahabi rounds

even

Ricky Turcios rounds

Round 1Aiemann Zahabi edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Aiemann Zahabi edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Aiemann Zahabi edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

54 / 105

Sig Strikes

27 / 235

51.7%

Sig Str %

11.3%

54 / 105

Total Strikes

27 / 235

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ricky Turcios	7 / 53	7 / 53	0 / 1
1	Aiemann Zahabi	12 / 23	12 / 23	0 / 0
2	Ricky Turcios	10 / 84	10 / 84	0 / 1
2	Aiemann Zahabi	21 / 46	21 / 46	0 / 0
3	Ricky Turcios	10 / 98	10 / 98	0 / 0
3	Aiemann Zahabi	21 / 36	21 / 36	0 / 0

Aiemann Zahabi

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights10

Ricky Turcios

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6