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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Aiemann Zahabi won · U-DEC R3
Elo1522
Elo1503
Javid Basharat

Aiemann ZahabivsJavid BasharatUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · Saturday, March 2, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Aiemann Zahabi won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupAiemann Zahabi: Pressure fightervsJavid Basharat: Elusive striker

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

Model Prediction: Javid Basharat wins(79.7%)

Actual result: Aiemann Zahabi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Javid Basharat at -800 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Aiemann Zahabi
Red Corner
VS
Javid Basharat
Blue Corner
+550
(15%)
Vegas Odds
-800
(89%)
1522
Elo
1503
38
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aiemann Zahabi
oldest →
W
KOvs Aoriqileng · Jun 23
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 24
W
vs Jose Aldo · May 25
W
vs Marlon Vera · Oct 25
L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 26
latest
Javid Basharat
oldest →
W
vs Trevin Jones · Mar 22
W
vs Tony Gravely · Sep 22
W
vs Mateus Mendonca · Jan 23
L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Feb 25
W
vs Gianni Vazquez · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Aiemann ZahabiMetricJavid Basharat
4.54
Strikes / min
5.18
4.08
Strikes absorbed / min
2.75
69%
Strike defense
63%
0.12
TDs / 15 min
1.83
83%
Takedown defense
83%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46Δ 1.97 — meaningful gap+2.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1533 vs 1548Strikes3.4 vs 5.4Takedowns0.2 vs 1.7Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.20Form1.0 vs 1.0
Aiemann ZahabiJavid Basharat

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Aiemann Zahabi(10 fights)Javid Basharat(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +19.2|Blue -19.2
Recent Form
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -147.0|Blue +147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Aiemann ZahabiTargetJavid Basharat

By target zone

51
39% acc · 68%
Head
33
22% acc · 49%
16
62% acc · 21%
Body
27
61% acc · 40%
8
44% acc · 11%
Leg
7
50% acc · 10%

By position

74
43% acc · 99%
Distance
67
33% acc · 100%
1
50% acc · 1%
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Aiemann Zahabi rounds
1
even
1
Javid Basharat rounds
Round 1Javid Basharat edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control0:05
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Aiemann Zahabi edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:08
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
75 / 174
Sig Strikes
67 / 205
40.7%
Sig Str %
31.7%
77 / 176
Total Strikes
67 / 205
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 4
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:13
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Javid Basharat14 / 5614 / 560 / 00
1Aiemann Zahabi12 / 3812 / 380 / 00
2Javid Basharat28 / 7328 / 730 / 30
2Aiemann Zahabi26 / 5826 / 580 / 00
3Javid Basharat25 / 7625 / 760 / 10
3Aiemann Zahabi37 / 7839 / 800 / 00

Aiemann Zahabi

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10

Javid Basharat

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6