Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Aiemann Zahabi won · KO/TKO

Elo1522

Elo1405

Aiemann ZahabivsDrako RodriguezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · Saturday, February 20, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Aiemann Zahabi won

KO/TKO

Style matchupAiemann Zahabi: Pressure fightervsDrako Rodriguez: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Drako Rodriguez wins(68.7%)

Actual result: Aiemann Zahabi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Drako Rodriguez at -190 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Aiemann Zahabi has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Aiemann Zahabi

Red Corner

Drako Rodriguez

Blue Corner

+150

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-190

(66%)

1522

Elo

1405

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aiemann Zahabi

oldest →

vs Javid Basharat · Mar 24

vs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 24

vs Jose Aldo · May 25

vs Marlon Vera · Oct 25

KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 26

latest

Drako Rodriguez

oldest →

vs Vince Morales · Aug 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Aiemann ZahabiMetricDrako Rodriguez

4.54

Strikes / min

3.37

4.08

Strikes absorbed / min

4.40

69%

Strike defense

58%

0.12

TDs / 15 min

2.93

83%

Takedown defense

75%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.46Δ 1.49 — meaningful gap-1.03

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Aiemann ZahabiDrako Rodriguez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Aiemann Zahabi(10 fights)Drako Rodriguez(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +117.3|Blue -117.3

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -48.1|Blue +48.1

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Aiemann ZahabiTargetDrako Rodriguez

By target zone

80% acc · 89%

Head

22% acc · 55%

100% acc · 11%

Body

50% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 36%

By position

86% acc · 67%

Distance

27% acc · 73%

50% acc · 11%

Clinch

100% acc · 27%

100% acc · 22%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Aiemann Zahabi rounds

even

Drako Rodriguez rounds

Round 1Aiemann Zahabi edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:10

Knockdowns1

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 11

Sig Strikes

11 / 33

81%

Sig Str %

33%

9 / 11

Total Strikes

13 / 35

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:10

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Drako Rodriguez	11 / 33	13 / 35	0 / 0	0
1	Aiemann Zahabi	9 / 11	9 / 11	0 / 0	0

Aiemann Zahabi

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights10

Drako Rodriguez

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights2