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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Aiemann Zahabi won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1522
Elo1491

Aiemann ZahabivsAoriqilengUFC Prediction Result

UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · Saturday, June 10, 2023Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada

Official fight result

Aiemann Zahabi won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:04

Style matchupAiemann Zahabi: Pressure fightervsAoriqileng: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Aoriqileng wins(73.6%)

Actual result: Aiemann Zahabi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Aoriqileng at -124 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Aoriqileng is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Aiemann Zahabi has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Aiemann Zahabi has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Aiemann Zahabi has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Aiemann Zahabi
Red Corner
VS
Aoriqileng
Blue Corner
+106
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-124
(55%)
1522
Elo
1491
38
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Aiemann Zahabi
oldest →
W
vs Javid Basharat · Mar 24
W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 24
W
vs Jose Aldo · May 25
W
vs Marlon Vera · Oct 25
L
KOvs Sean O'Malley · Jun 26
latest
Aoriqileng
oldest →
W
vs Jay Perrin · Aug 22
W
vs Johnny Munoz · Oct 23
L
vs Raul Rosas Jr. · Sep 24
W
KOvs Cody Gibson · Oct 25
L
KOvs Cody Haddon · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Aiemann ZahabiMetricAoriqileng
4.54
Strikes / min
4.69
4.08
Strikes absorbed / min
5.47
69%
Strike defense
48%
0.12
TDs / 15 min
1.20
83%
Takedown defense
58%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46Δ 1.24 — meaningful gap-0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1515Strikes3.4 vs 5.3Takedowns0.2 vs 1.4Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.9 vs 0.6
Aiemann ZahabiAoriqileng

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Aiemann Zahabi(10 fights)Aoriqileng(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +31.6|Blue -31.6
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Aiemann ZahabiTargetAoriqileng

By target zone

5
63% acc · 100%
Head
0
0
Body
1
100% acc · 20%
0
Leg
4
100% acc · 80%

By position

3
60% acc · 60%
Distance
5
100% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
2
67% acc · 40%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Aiemann Zahabi rounds
0
even
0
Aoriqileng rounds
Round 1Aiemann Zahabi edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
5 / 8
Sig Strikes
5 / 5
62%
Sig Str %
100%
5 / 8
Total Strikes
5 / 5
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:03
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Aoriqileng5 / 55 / 50 / 00
1Aiemann Zahabi5 / 85 / 80 / 00

Aiemann Zahabi

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10

Aoriqileng

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights9