Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Max Griffin enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Max Griffin has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Max Griffin has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jeremiah Wells (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Max GriffinL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Michael Morales · Jul 23L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Dec 24L
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 25L
DECvs Victor Valenzuela · Apr 26 Jeremiah Wells
oldest →W
SUBvs Blood Diamond · Feb 22W
KOvs Court McGee · Jun 22W
vs Matthew Semelsberger · Apr 23L
SUBvs Carlston Harris · Aug 23W
vs Themba Gorimbo · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Max GriffinMetricJeremiah Wells
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.01Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap+1.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Max GriffinJeremiah Wells
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Max Griffin(10 fights)Jeremiah Wells(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -41.6|Blue +41.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Max GriffinTargetJeremiah Wells
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jeremiah Wells edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control0:10
7Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:44Control
Round 2Jeremiah Wells edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:14
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:56Control
Round 3Max Griffin edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control1:16
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
