Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tor Troeng enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Adam Cella has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Tor Troeng has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tor TroengL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Rafael Natal · Sep 13L
vs Trevor Smith · Jul 14L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 14 Adam CellaNo prior UFC fights on record.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tor TroengMetricAdam Cella
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.10Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap-0.70
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tor Troeng(4 fights)Adam Cella(1 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -136.5|Blue +136.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tor TroengTargetAdam Cella
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tor Troeng edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control2:21
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
