Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Anton Turkalj enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Anton Turkalj has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jailton Almeida has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jailton AlmeidaL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Curtis Blaydes · Mar 24W
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Jun 24W
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Jan 25L
vs Alexander Volkov · Oct 25L
vs Rizvan Kuniev · Feb 26 Anton TurkaljL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Vitor Petrino · Mar 23L
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Sep 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jailton AlmeidaMetricAnton Turkalj
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.93Δ 1.90 — meaningful gap-0.97
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jailton AlmeidaAnton Turkalj
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jailton Almeida(10 fights)Anton Turkalj(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +26.9|Blue -26.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jailton AlmeidaTargetAnton Turkalj
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jailton Almeida edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns3
Control4:14
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
