Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tyron Woodley enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kamaru Usman (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tyron WoodleyL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Darren Till · Sep 18L
vs Gilbert Burns · May 20L
KOvs Colby Covington · Sep 20L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Mar 21 Kamaru Usman
oldest →L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Aug 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 23L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 23W
vs Joaquin Buckley · Jun 25L
DECvs Dricus Du Plessis · Jul 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tyron WoodleyMetricKamaru Usman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.40Δ 1.89 — meaningful gap+1.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tyron WoodleyKamaru Usman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tyron Woodley(10 fights)Kamaru Usman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -91.7|Blue +91.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +83.0|Blue -83.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tyron WoodleyTargetKamaru Usman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Kamaru Usman edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:53Control
Round 2Kamaru Usman edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:23Control
Round 3Kamaru Usman edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
45Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:51Control
Round 4Kamaru Usman edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:00
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:26Control
Round 5Kamaru Usman edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:40Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
