Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Michael Chandler enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Dan Hooker is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Michael Chandler has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Dan Hooker has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dan Hooker (52.9%).
- Dan Hooker has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan HookerL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 22W
vs Jalin Turner · Jul 23W
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Aug 24L
SUBvs Arman Tsarukyan · Nov 25L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jan 26 Michael ChandlerL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Tony Ferguson · May 22L
SUBvs Dustin Poirier · Nov 22L
vs Charles Oliveira · Nov 24L
KOvs Paddy Pimblett · Apr 25L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan HookerMetricMichael Chandler
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.12evenly matched on net striking-0.48
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dan HookerMichael Chandler
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Hooker(10 fights)Michael Chandler(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +30.0|Blue -30.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.3|Blue +48.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dan HookerTargetMichael Chandler
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michael Chandler edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
