Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jorge MasvidalL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 20L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Apr 21L
vs Colby Covington · Mar 22L
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 23 James Krause
oldest →W
KOvs Warlley Alves · Aug 18W
KOvs Sergio Moraes · Nov 19L
vs Trevin Giles · Feb 20W
vs Claudio Silva · Oct 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jorge MasvidalMetricJames Krause
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.00evenly matched on net striking+0.68
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jorge MasvidalJames Krause
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jorge Masvidal(10 fights)James Krause(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -36.7|Blue +36.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -63.0|Blue +63.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jorge MasvidalTargetJames Krause
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1James Krause edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:03
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 2Jorge Masvidal edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns1
Control1:17
Knockdowns1
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:44Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Jorge Masvidal edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control1:42
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:32Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
