Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Trevor Smith has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tor TroengL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Adam Cella · Apr 13L
vs Rafael Natal · Sep 13L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 14 Trevor SmithL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Andrew Sanchez · Dec 16W
vs Chris Camozzi · May 17L
vs Elias Theodorou · May 18L
vs Zak Cummings · Dec 18L
KOvs Makhmud Muradov · Dec 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tor TroengMetricTrevor Smith
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.10Δ 2.08 — meaningful gap-0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tor TroengTrevor Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tor Troeng(4 fights)Trevor Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -24.9|Blue +24.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -3.1|Blue +3.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +219.0|Blue -219.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tor TroengTargetTrevor Smith
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Tor Troeng edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control2:25
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 2Trevor Smith edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control1:44
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:35Control
Round 3Trevor Smith edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:17
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
