Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jimmie Rivera
oldest →L
KOvs Marlon Moraes · Jun 18L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Feb 19W
vs Cody Stamann · Jul 20L
vs Pedro Munhoz · Feb 21 John Dodson
oldest →L
vs Marlon Moraes · Nov 17W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Mar 18W
KOvs Nathaniel Wood · Feb 20L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Aug 20 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jimmie RiveraMetricJohn Dodson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.13evenly matched on net striking-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jimmie RiveraJohn Dodson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jimmie Rivera(10 fights)John Dodson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -90.0|Blue +90.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jimmie RiveraTargetJohn Dodson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jimmie Rivera edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:04
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 2Jimmie Rivera edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jimmie Rivera edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
