Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- John Makdessi has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Francisco Trinaldo (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francisco Trinaldo
oldest →W
KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22 John MakdessiL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Ross Pearson · Jul 18W
vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19W
vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22L
vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francisco TrinaldoMetricJohn Makdessi
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.46evenly matched on net striking+1.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Francisco TrinaldoJohn Makdessi
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)John Makdessi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +20.6|Blue -20.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.5|Blue +1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -238.0|Blue +238.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Francisco TrinaldoTargetJohn Makdessi
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Francisco Trinaldo rounds
Round 1John Makdessi edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
