Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Tai Tuivasa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jairzinho Rozenstruik has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tai Tuivasa (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Tai TuivasaL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Sergei Pavlovich · Dec 22L
SUBvs Alexander Volkov · Sep 23L
SUBvs Marcin Tybura · Mar 24L
vs Tallison Teixeira · Jan 26L
DECvs Louie Sutherland · May 26 Jairzinho Rozenstruik
oldest →L
KOvs Alexander Volkov · Jun 22W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Dec 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 23W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · Mar 24L
vs Sergei Pavlovich · Feb 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Tai TuivasaMetricJairzinho Rozenstruik
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.24Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap+0.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Tai TuivasaJairzinho Rozenstruik
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Tai Tuivasa(10 fights)Jairzinho Rozenstruik(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Tai TuivasaTargetJairzinho Rozenstruik
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
3
Jairzinho Rozenstruik rounds
Round 1Jairzinho Rozenstruik edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jairzinho Rozenstruik edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:01
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jairzinho Rozenstruik edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
