Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Misha Cirkunov threatens submissions; Ion Cutelaba has lost 36% of fights by sub.
- Misha Cirkunov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ion Cutelaba (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Misha CirkunovL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21L
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Feb 22L
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22 Ion Cutelaba
oldest →W
SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25L
vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25L
KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Misha CirkunovMetricIon Cutelaba
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.80evenly matched on net striking+0.95
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Misha CirkunovIon Cutelaba
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -60.5|Blue +60.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Misha CirkunovTargetIon Cutelaba
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Misha Cirkunov edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Misha Cirkunov edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:39
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Misha Cirkunov edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control0:35
3Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
