Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mitch Clarke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- John Maguire has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- John Maguire has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors John Maguire (53.5%).
- Mitch Clarke has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Mitch ClarkeL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Anton Kuivanen · Jul 12W
SUBvs Al Iaquinta · May 14L
vs Michael Chiesa · Apr 15L
SUBvs Joe Duffy · Jul 16L
KOvs Alex White · Sep 17 John MaguireL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Justin Edwards · Nov 11W
SUBvs DaMarques Johnson · Apr 12L
vs John Hathaway · Sep 12L
vs Matthew Riddle · Nov 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Mitch ClarkeMetricJohn Maguire
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.92evenly matched on net striking-1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Mitch ClarkeJohn Maguire
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Mitch Clarke(7 fights)John Maguire(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +9.5|Blue -9.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +119.0|Blue -119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Mitch ClarkeTargetJohn Maguire
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mitch Clarke edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:00
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:57Control
Round 2John Maguire edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:48
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:44Control
Round 3Mitch Clarke edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control1:40
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
