Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Featherweight
3 Rounds
Bart Palaszewski won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1490
Tyson Griffin
Elo1352

Tyson GriffinvsBart PalaszewskiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · Saturday, October 29, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Bart Palaszewski won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:45

Model Prediction: Tyson Griffin wins(56.6%)

Actual result: Bart Palaszewski wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tyson Griffin at -295 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Bart Palaszewski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Bart Palaszewski is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Tyson Griffin has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Tyson Griffin
Red Corner
VS
Bart Palaszewski
Blue Corner
-295
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
1490
Elo
1352
42
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'6"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tyson Griffin
oldest →
L
vs Evan Dunham · Jun 10
L
KOvs Takanori Gomi · Aug 10
L
vs Nik Lentz · Nov 10
W
vs Manvel Gamburyan · Jun 11
latest
Bart PalaszewskiL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Hatsu Hioki · Feb 12
L
vs Diego Nunes · Oct 12
L
SUBvs Cole Miller · Apr 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tyson GriffinMetricBart Palaszewski
3.71
Strikes / min
2.67
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min
3.97
65%
Strike defense
57%
1.87
TDs / 15 min
0.65
59%
Takedown defense
53%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.41Δ 2.71 — meaningful gap-1.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1467 vs 1500Strikes46.6 vs —Takedowns1.5 vs —Sub Atts0.77 vs —Form-0.1 vs 0.0
Tyson GriffinBart Palaszewski

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Tyson Griffin(5 fights)Bart Palaszewski(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +138.1|Blue -138.1
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -46.9|Blue +46.9
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tyson GriffinTargetBart Palaszewski

By target zone

1
7% acc · 17%
Head
16
25% acc · 94%
1
50% acc · 17%
Body
0
0% acc
4
100% acc · 67%
Leg
1
50% acc · 6%

By position

6
29% acc · 100%
Distance
17
26% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Tyson Griffin rounds
0
even
1
Bart Palaszewski rounds
Round 1Bart Palaszewski edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
6 / 21
Sig Strikes
17 / 66
28%
Sig Str %
25%
6 / 21
Total Strikes
17 / 66
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Bart Palaszewski17 / 6617 / 660 / 00
1Tyson Griffin6 / 216 / 210 / 00

Tyson Griffin

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights5

Bart Palaszewski

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4