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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Ailin Perez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1546

Lucie PudilovavsAilin PerezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Saturday, November 18, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ailin Perez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupLucie Pudilova: Well-roundedvsAilin Perez: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Ailin Perez wins(74.4%)

Actual result: Ailin Perez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ailin Perez at -192 American odds

+$52 profit

$152 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ailin Perez enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Ailin Perez (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Lucie Pudilova

Red Corner

Ailin Perez

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-192

(66%)

1491

Elo

1546

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'8"

Height

5'5"

170.18 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Lucie PudilovaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Liz Carmouche · Feb 19

SUBvs Antonina Shevchenko · Aug 19

KOvs Wu Yanan · Aug 22

vs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 23

vs Luana Carolina · Jul 24

latest

Ailin PerezW5 streak

oldest →

vs Ashlee Evans-Smith · Jul 23

vs Joselyne Edwards · Jun 24

SUBvs Daria Zhelezniakova · Sep 24

vs Karol Rosa · Jan 25

vs Macy Chiasson · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Lucie PudilovaMetricAilin Perez

3.60

Strikes / min

2.88

4.07

Strikes absorbed / min

1.58

50%

Strike defense

56%

0.70

TDs / 15 min

4.90

67%

Takedown defense

72%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.47Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap+1.30

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Lucie PudilovaAilin Perez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Lucie Pudilova(10 fights)Ailin Perez(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -55.6|Blue +55.6

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +2.4|Blue -2.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Lucie PudilovaTargetAilin Perez

By target zone

42% acc · 65%

Head

54% acc · 74%

78% acc · 35%

Body

71% acc · 12%

0% acc

Leg

60% acc · 14%

By position

20% acc · 25%

Distance

44% acc · 29%

90% acc · 45%

Clinch

50% acc · 7%

86% acc · 30%

Ground

66% acc · 64%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Lucie Pudilova rounds

even

Ailin Perez rounds

Round 1Ailin Perez edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:49Control

Round 2Ailin Perez edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:26Control

Round 3Lucie Pudilova edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control4:09

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:21Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

20 / 42

Sig Strikes

42 / 74

37%

Sig Str %

52.7%

41 / 67

Total Strikes

123 / 180

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 8

—

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

4:09

Ctrl Time

8:36

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Ailin Perez	12 / 26	48 / 64	1 / 2	0
1	Lucie Pudilova	2 / 10	3 / 12	0 / 0	0
2	Ailin Perez	25 / 37	66 / 100	1 / 2	0
2	Lucie Pudilova	2 / 8	2 / 8	0 / 0	0
3	Ailin Perez	5 / 11	9 / 16	0 / 4	0
3	Lucie Pudilova	16 / 24	36 / 47	0 / 0	1

Lucie Pudilova

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights10

Ailin Perez

StanceSwitch

Height65.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights7