Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jack Hermansson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Joe Pyfer enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Joe Pyfer is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Jack Hermansson has lost 63% of fights by KO.
- Jack Hermansson has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jack HermanssonL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Sean Strickland · Feb 22W
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25L
KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25 latest Joe PyferW5 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Oct 23W
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 24W
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Jun 25W
SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Oct 25W
KOvs Israel Adesanya · Mar 26 latest Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jack HermanssonMetricJoe Pyfer
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.43Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jack HermanssonJoe Pyfer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jack Hermansson(10 fights)Joe Pyfer(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -72.7|Blue +72.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +308.0|Blue -308.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jack HermanssonTargetJoe Pyfer
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joe Pyfer edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Joe Pyfer edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns0
Control0:07
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jack Hermansson edged it
Sig. strikes37
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Jack Hermansson edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:00
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:50Control
Round 5Jack Hermansson edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control3:01
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.