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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Adriano Martins won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1362
Adriano Martins
Elo1354
Juan Puig

Adriano MartinsvsJuan PuigUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale · Sunday, July 6, 2014Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Adriano Martins won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:21

Model Prediction: Adriano Martins wins(76.5%)

Actual result: Adriano Martins wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Adriano Martins at -420 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Adriano Martins is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Juan Puig has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Adriano Martins (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Adriano Martins
Red Corner
VS
Juan Puig
Blue Corner
-420
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+375
(21%)
1362
Elo
1354
43
Age
25
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Adriano MartinsL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jan 14
W
vs Rustam Khabilov · Feb 15
W
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Oct 15
L
vs Leonardo Santos · Oct 16
L
KOvs Kajan Johnson · Sep 17
latest
Juan Puig
oldest →
L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Nov 14
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Adriano MartinsMetricJuan Puig
1.80
Strikes / min
—
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
—
65%
Strike defense
—
0.83
TDs / 15 min
—
81%
Takedown defense
—
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1505 vs 1500Strikes14.5 vs —Takedowns0.5 vs —Sub Atts0.50 vs —Form-0.1 vs 0.0
Adriano MartinsJuan Puig

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Adriano Martins(7 fights)Juan Puig(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +7.9|Blue -7.9
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -49.2|Blue +49.2
Grappler Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Adriano Martins

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7

Juan Puig

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights1