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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Adrian Yanez won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1521
Elo1485

Adrian YanezvsVinicius SalvadorUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · Saturday, May 18, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Adrian Yanez won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:47

Style matchupAdrian Yanez: Pressure fightervsVinicius Salvador: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Adrian Yanez wins(72.8%)

Actual result: Adrian Yanez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Vinicius Salvador (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Adrian Yanez
Red Corner
VS
Vinicius Salvador
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1521
Elo
1485
32
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Adrian Yanez
oldest →
L
KOvs Rob Font · Apr 23
L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 23
L
vs Daniel Marcos · Dec 24
D
vs Ricky Simon · Mar 26
W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jul 26
latest
Vinicius SalvadorL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Victor Altamirano · Mar 23
L
vs CJ Vergara · Jul 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Adrian YanezMetricVinicius Salvador
5.96
Strikes / min
5.48
5.24
Strikes absorbed / min
6.50
56%
Strike defense
48%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.36
75%
Takedown defense
86%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 1.74 — meaningful gap-1.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1545 vs 1469Strikes6.5 vs 5.5Takedowns0.0 vs 0.4Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-0.5 vs -1.0
Adrian YanezVinicius Salvador

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Adrian Yanez(10 fights)Vinicius Salvador(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +36.4|Blue -36.4
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -77.0|Blue +77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Adrian YanezTargetVinicius Salvador

By target zone

27
60% acc · 75%
Head
6
30% acc · 35%
1
50% acc · 3%
Body
6
100% acc · 35%
8
89% acc · 22%
Leg
5
63% acc · 29%

By position

15
54% acc · 42%
Distance
17
50% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
21
75% acc · 58%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Adrian Yanez rounds
0
even
0
Vinicius Salvador rounds
Round 1Adrian Yanez edged it
Sig. strikes36
Takedowns0
Control0:17
Knockdowns1
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
36 / 56
Sig Strikes
17 / 34
64%
Sig Str %
50%
36 / 58
Total Strikes
17 / 34
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:17
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Vinicius Salvador17 / 3417 / 340 / 00
1Adrian Yanez36 / 5636 / 580 / 00

Adrian Yanez

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11

Vinicius Salvador

StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights3