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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Adrian Yanez won · KO/TKO
Elo1521
Elo1401

Adrian YanezvsVictor RodriguezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · Saturday, October 31, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Adrian Yanez won

KO/TKO

Model Prediction: Adrian Yanez wins(73.5%)

Actual result: Adrian Yanez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Adrian Yanez at -500 American odds

+$20 profit

$120 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Adrian Yanez is a KO finisher (86% of wins). Victor Rodriguez has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Adrian Yanez has 75pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Victor Rodriguez (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Adrian Yanez
Red Corner
VS
Victor Rodriguez
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+356
(22%)
1521
Elo
1401
32
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5'7"
Height
5'5"
177.8 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Adrian Yanez
oldest →
L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Oct 23
W
KOvs Vinicius Salvador · May 24
L
vs Daniel Marcos · Dec 24
D
vs Ricky Simon · Mar 26
W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jul 26
latest
Victor Rodriguez
oldest →
L
KOvs Bruno Silva · May 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Adrian YanezMetricVictor Rodriguez
5.96
Strikes / min
1.59
5.24
Strikes absorbed / min
6.11
56%
Strike defense
50%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
75%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.72Δ 5.24 — meaningful gap-4.52

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes10.8 vs 0.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Adrian YanezVictor Rodriguez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Adrian Yanez(10 fights)Victor Rodriguez(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +120.7|Blue -120.7
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Adrian YanezTargetVictor Rodriguez

By target zone

15
47% acc · 88%
Head
5
45% acc · 83%
2
100% acc · 12%
Body
1
50% acc · 17%
0
Leg
0

By position

16
48% acc · 94%
Distance
6
50% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 6%
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Adrian Yanez rounds
0
even
0
Victor Rodriguez rounds
Round 1Adrian Yanez edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:54Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
17 / 34
Sig Strikes
6 / 13
50%
Sig Str %
46%
18 / 35
Total Strikes
9 / 16
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 3
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:05
Ctrl Time
0:54

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Victor Rodriguez6 / 139 / 160 / 30
1Adrian Yanez17 / 3418 / 350 / 00

Adrian Yanez

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11

Victor Rodriguez

StanceSwitch
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights2