Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- TJ Grant enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Shane Roller
oldest →W
KOvs Thiago Tavares · Mar 11L
KOvs Melvin Guillard · Jul 11L
vs Michael Johnson · Jan 12W
vs John Alessio · Jul 12L
SUBvs Jacob Volkmann · Oct 12 TJ GrantW4 streak
oldest →L
vs Ricardo Almeida · Dec 10W
vs Carlo Prater · May 12W
KOvs Matt Wiman · Jan 13W
KOvs Gray Maynard · May 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Shane RollerMetricTJ Grant
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.61Δ 1.35 — meaningful gap+0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Shane RollerTJ Grant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Shane Roller(6 fights)TJ Grant(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.3|Blue +1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -203.0|Blue +203.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Shane RollerTargetTJ Grant
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1TJ Grant edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:36
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:20Control
Round 2TJ Grant edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control1:34
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:36Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:35
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
