Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Paulo Thiago enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Paulo Thiago has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Diego Sanchez (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Sanchez
oldest →W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Mar 19L
vs Michael Chiesa · Jul 19W
vs Michel Pereira · Feb 20L
vs Jake Matthews · Sep 20 Paulo ThiagoL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Dong Hyun Kim · Nov 12W
vs Michel Prazeres · May 13L
KOvs Brandon Thatch · Nov 13L
vs Gasan Umalatov · May 14L
vs Sean Spencer · Sep 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego SanchezMetricPaulo Thiago
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.33evenly matched on net striking-0.28
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diego SanchezPaulo Thiago
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Sanchez(10 fights)Paulo Thiago(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +139.1|Blue -139.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +14.0|Blue -14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diego SanchezTargetPaulo Thiago
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Paulo Thiago edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:31
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:30Control
Round 2Diego Sanchez edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control3:59
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Diego Sanchez edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control4:44
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
