Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jordan Johnson won · SUB R2
Elo1491
Adam Yandiev
Elo1491
Jordan Johnson

Adam YandievvsJordan JohnsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · Saturday, September 15, 2018Moscow, Moscow, Russia

Official fight result

Jordan Johnson won

SUB · Round 2 · 0:42

Model Prediction: Jordan Johnson wins(82.4%)

Actual result: Jordan Johnson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jordan Johnson at -280 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jordan Johnson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
  • Jordan Johnson has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Jordan Johnson has 75pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Jordan Johnson has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Adam Yandiev
Red Corner
VS
Jordan Johnson
Blue Corner
+240
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
1491
Elo
1491
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Adam YandievNo prior UFC fights on record.
Jordan JohnsonW3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Henrique da Silva · Jan 17
W
vs Marcel Fortuna · Jul 17
W
vs Adam Milstead · Mar 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Adam YandievMetricJordan Johnson
0.18
Strikes / min
3.45
6.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.64
36%
Strike defense
53%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.25
25%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-5.96Δ 6.77 — meaningful gap+0.81

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1548Strikes— vs 46.7Takedowns— vs 2.7Sub Atts— vs 0.67Form0.0 vs 1.0
Adam YandievJordan Johnson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Adam Yandiev(1 fights)Jordan Johnson(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Recent Form
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score
Red +48.2|Blue -48.2
Grappler Score
Red +49.4|Blue -49.4
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Adam YandievTargetJordan Johnson

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
33
63% acc · 94%
0
0% acc
Body
1
50% acc · 3%
1
100% acc · 100%
Leg
1
100% acc · 3%

By position

1
10% acc · 100%
Distance
3
20% acc · 9%
0
0% acc
Clinch
2
100% acc · 6%
0
Ground
30
79% acc · 86%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Adam Yandiev rounds
0
even
2
Jordan Johnson rounds
Round 1Jordan Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
32Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:20Control
Round 2Jordan Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:14Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
1 / 12
Sig Strikes
35 / 55
4.5%
Sig Str %
57.5%
1 / 12
Total Strikes
55 / 82
0 / 0
TDs
3 / 4
—
TD %
83%
0
Sub Att
2
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
3:34

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jordan Johnson32 / 4952 / 762 / 31
1Adam Yandiev1 / 111 / 110 / 00
2Jordan Johnson3 / 63 / 61 / 11
2Adam Yandiev0 / 10 / 10 / 00

Adam Yandiev

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights1

Jordan Johnson

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4