Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leonard Garcia enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Cody McKenzie has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Leonard Garcia has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cody McKenzie (52.9%).
- Cody McKenzie has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leonard GarciaL4 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Chan Sung Jung · Mar 11L
vs Max Holloway · Dec 12 Cody McKenzieL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Yves Edwards · Jan 11L
SUBvs Vagner Rocha · Sep 11W
SUBvs Marcus LeVesseur · May 12L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Jul 12 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leonard GarciaMetricCody McKenzie
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.02Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Leonard GarciaCody McKenzie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leonard Garcia(6 fights)Cody McKenzie(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -138.2|Blue +138.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -175.0|Blue +175.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Leonard GarciaTargetCody McKenzie
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Cody McKenzie edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:20
6Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:28Control
Round 2Cody McKenzie edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:54Control
Round 3Cody McKenzie edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:48Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
