Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Travis Browne is a KO finisher (78% of wins). Gabriel Gonzaga has lost 71% of fights by KO.
- Gabriel Gonzaga has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Travis BrowneL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jan 16L
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Jul 16L
vs Fabricio Werdum · Sep 16L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 17L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 17 Gabriel Gonzaga
oldest →L
vs Stipe Miocic · Jan 14L
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Dec 14L
KOvs Mirko Cro Cop · Apr 15W
vs Konstantin Erokhin · Dec 15L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Apr 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Travis BrowneMetricGabriel Gonzaga
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.38evenly matched on net striking-0.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Travis BrowneGabriel Gonzaga
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Travis Browne(10 fights)Gabriel Gonzaga(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -129.5|Blue +129.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +106.0|Blue -106.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Travis BrowneTargetGabriel Gonzaga
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Travis Browne edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:58Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
