Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bryan Barberena enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Rafael Dos Anjos has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Bryan BarberenaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 22L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 23L
vs Makhmud Muradov · Jul 23L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 24 Rafael Dos AnjosL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Renato Moicano · Mar 22L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Bryan BarberenaMetricRafael Dos Anjos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.76evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Bryan BarberenaRafael Dos Anjos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Bryan Barberena(10 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Bryan BarberenaTargetRafael Dos Anjos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Rafael Dos Anjos edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:06Control
Round 2Rafael Dos Anjos edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:35
4Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
2:30Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
